Putin’s india visit: a strategic success amid rising western pressure, says expert michael kugelman

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South Asia analyst, Michael Kugelman. (ANI)

Michael Kugelman emphasized that the recent meeting between Indian and Russian leaders conveyed a strong message: the India-Russia relationship remains resilient despite increasing Western pressure. He described Russian President Vladimir Putin’s visit to India as both “successful” and strategically significant, particularly given its timing amid global tensions. Notably, this was Putin’s first visit to India in four years since the onset of the Ukraine conflict, making it particularly relevant.

Kugelman pointed out that this visit occurred at a “precarious moment” for India, which is under sustained pressure from Western nations, especially the United States, to reduce its energy imports from Russia. He remarked that the meeting underscored the enduring nature of their bilateral ties, stating, “It was important for these leaders to show that even in the face of a lot of pressure from the West, this is a relationship that will endure.”

Regarding the joint statement from the 23rd India–Russia Annual Summit, Kugelman noted its expansive nature, reflecting the extensive scope of cooperation between the two nations. He highlighted that the statement addressed various sectors, including military collaboration, energy, commercial partnerships, and infrastructure development. While acknowledging that energy remains a critical and challenging aspect of their relationship, he stressed the importance of exploring and enhancing other commercial engagements.

Kugelman also commented on Putin’s remarks about oil, suggesting they were strategically crafted for both Indian and Western audiences. He cautioned that India needs to navigate its energy dealings with Russia carefully, especially given the ongoing geopolitical sensitivities linked to the Ukraine conflict.

Looking ahead, Kugelman characterized the current state of India-Russia relations as complex, given the external pressures and India’s recent reduction in Russian imports. He noted security concerns, particularly delays in the delivery of Russian military equipment to India, and emphasized the significance of energy and arms in their relationship.

He also mentioned that India seeks to expand its access to Central Asia, where Russia could play a supportive role, especially as China and Pakistan also vie for influence in the region. Despite India’s ongoing engagement with Russia, Kugelman observed a strong desire in Washington to continue collaborating with New Delhi. He remarked that the summit served as a reminder that Russia cannot be entirely isolated, as key global players like India and China maintain close ties with Moscow.

Kugelman concluded by reiterating that one of India’s foreign policy priorities is to secure a trade deal with the EU, and he expressed confidence that Washington remains committed to fostering its relationship with India, regardless of the current geopolitical landscape and Putin’s visit.